Editorial Talk
Rana Sabbagh of our sister channel Lil_Ilem and Tim Sebastian talk Syria
Here is the run down
The ongoing upheaval in Syria has once again brought global attention to the intricate power struggles shaping the nation’s future. In a discussion with investigative journalist Rana Sabbagh, several critical themes emerged, providing insight into the complex dynamics at play.
Rebel Advance and Turkey’s Strategic Role
The recent rapid advances by rebel forces in Syria are seen as more than coincidental. Sabbagh argues that Turkish intelligence likely orchestrated these events to serve Ankara’s national interests. Hosting millions of Syrian refugees has strained Turkey’s resources, and controlling northwestern Syria through Turkish-backed militias offers a solution. By stabilizing the area, Turkey aims to facilitate the repatriation of refugees while expanding its regional influence.
Despite Turkey’s ambitions, Syria remains far from stable. The country, divided by sectarianism and external interference, faces a tenuous future. Turkey has attempted to present Abu Mohammad al-Julani, a former extremist leader, as a moderate figure capable of governance. However, this rebranding effort is viewed with skepticism, as Julani’s extremist past raises doubts about his intentions and capacity for genuine change.
Winners and Losers in the Geopolitical Chess Game
Several actors are poised to emerge as winners and losers in Syria’s ongoing conflict:
The winners
- Turkey, leveraging its influence to control parts of Syria.
- The Kurds, who may gain greater autonomy or territorial recognition.
- Israel and the United States, securing strategic footholds in the region.
The Losers
- Iran, which is losing its influence across Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen.
- Civilians, who remain trapped amid competing geopolitical ambitions and face displacement and violence.
The Fate of Assad’s Regime
In the aftermath of Assad regime crumbled, questions about accountability loom. There is speculation that Assad and his inner circle could face war crime tribunals, but many high-ranking officials have already fled the country. Some former regime members are attempting to justify their actions, seeking to absolve themselves as the power structures they once served disintegrate.
Sabbagh expressed concern about how Arab youth might interpret these events. Figures like Julani could be mistakenly viewed as alternative heroes, potentially perpetuating extremist ideologies in new guises. Without a clear and inclusive vision for Syria’s future, the country risks falling into the hands of leaders who replicate past failures under new banners.
Syria’s conflict underscores the interplay of regional ambitions, ideological struggles, and human suffering. While Turkey, the Kurds, and Western powers might secure strategic gains, the broader implications for stability and governance remain uncertain. The greatest challenges lie in rebuilding a unified Syria and offering its people a future free from oppression and extremism.